Home of Storm Chasers Tony Propp and Brady Kendrick

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Chase Status Definitions

Posted on March 22, 2011 at 12:41 AM

Here are what our chase statuses translate to probability wise of us chasing:

 

No chases expected in the next 72 hours; pretty self explanatory...0% chance of a chase in the next 3 days.

 

Very Low chance of a chase in the next 72 hours; usually used if some kind of setup appears possible of producing severe weather across the area in the 72 hour and beyond time frame but usually means we will likely not chase it based on current conditions.  0%< to 20% chance of chase.

 

Slight chance of a chase in the next 72 hours; usualy use this level of prepardness when a chasesable setup appears possilbe at the 72 hour range but there is still uncertainty of our chase operations.  This usualy means a 20%< to 40% chance of chasing.

 

Moderate chance of a chase in the next 48 hours; when this level is posted, chaseable conditions are increaseinly likely in the 48-72 hours time frame.  40%< to 60% chance of a chase. 

 

High Chance of a chase in the next 24 hours; when this level is posted, we will likely be chasing in the coming 24 hours.  Rarely posted 48 hours out unless a significant severe weather event looks likely and model agreement is high.  60%< to 95% chance of a chase.

 

Chasing; self explanatory once again.  100% chance of a chase.

 

Categories: News/Updates, Chase Coverage

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